OBELA Analysis

On 2 April 2025, President Trump announced his policy of reciprocal tariffs. The term “reciprocal” implies others have tariffs against US goods, which is mistaken and misleading. Its fiscal problem is home made. Non the less, he imposed a universal base tariff of 10%, including on products within free trade agreements (such as the one with Chile and Peru), and imposed higher rates on some countries, such as China. Although the US Government paused the entry into force of the latter for 90 days -some time in May- the region's main economies have reacted. This article will discuss the different measures taken by Brazil, Argentina and Mexico.

President Trump's return to power means the return of anti-immigrant policies. Measures against the undocumented population will impact the amount of remittances sent to Latin American and Caribbean countries. ad. Remittances represent an important percentage of the region's International Reserves and GDP.

The year 2024 broke both land and ocean temperature records, being the warmest in 175 observable years and breaking the 1.5°C barrier set by the Paris Agreement to contain the devastating effects of climate change. All indications are that the trends of heat, pollution and extreme weather events will continue in 2025.