OBELA Analysis

The beginning of 2026 was marked by uncertainty regarding the impact of the United States' unilateral tariffs on the so-called "rebel states." This approach disregarded all current international trade agreements. Later, on 20 February 2026, the Supreme Court rejected the President’s actions, highlighting the conflict between national policy and international obligations.

On 7 January 2026, President Donald Trump announced the withdrawal of the United States from 35 organisations not belonging to the UN system and 31 United Nations institutions (see Annexe 1). The justification is that these organisations are contrary to US interests. This statement partially aligns with President Trump's narrative on some issues, such as climate change, where his scepticism towards climate science makes the abandonment of these forums consistent. However, there is a strong inconsistency when looking at institutions linked to issues such as security, counter-terrorism, international justice and cyber security.

Global action against climate change has been further weakened by the initial measures of President Trump's second administration. On 7 January 2026, he formalised the United States' withdrawal from 66 international organisations and agreements, including 31 related to environmental protection. This text will discuss the implications of this withdrawal for global climate efforts.